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Vgsps11

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, Vgsps11 closed 66 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +57% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Vgsps11 has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #48 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#48

Sirtio score

82.8

Avg edge (per position)

+57%

Positions (30d)

66

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 66 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 87% of Vgsps11's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+57%

across 66 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.91

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

82.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$4,483 on "AC Horsens vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5" (a 179% return). The worst was a -$6,117 loss on "Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

AC Horsens vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5

Over

+$4,483179%

AZ vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5

Over

+$4,42085%

Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5

Over

+$3,485124%

Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5

Over

+$3,42969%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Over

+$3,124105%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Over

-$6,117-100%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes

-$2,067-15%

St. Louis City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5

Over

-$1,866-62%

CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Over

-$1,832-100%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Over

-$746-36%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 12, 2026)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Resolved Nov 2, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$2,067-15%

Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5

Resolved Nov 2, 2026SoldOver44c entry
+$3,485124%

SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldOver47c entry
+$17014%

FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 2.5

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldOver48c entry
-$372-15%

AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldOver44c entry
+$35636%

IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldOver42c entry
-$393-26%

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldOver61c entry
+$76535%

RSC Anderlecht vs. KVC Westerlo: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldOver33c entry
+$758154%

RSC Anderlecht vs. KVC Westerlo: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldOver55c entry
+$1,34454%

Sporting Kansas City vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldOver67c entry
+$88821%

Columbus Crew vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldOver66c entry
-$19-0%

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026Force-closedOver34c entry
-$6,117-100%

Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 6.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldOver54c entry
+$58984%

Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 5.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldOver60c entry
+$20138%

Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldOver39c entry
+$311133%

New York City FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldOver60c entry
+$2,02965%

AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldOver50c entry
+$2,25498%

AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldOver84c entry
-$59-2%

AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldOver47c entry
+$1,16289%

Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldOver44c entry
-$314-16%

Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldOver36c entry
-$700-25%

AZ vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver54c entry
+$4,42085%

KAA Gent vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver47c entry
-$500-10%

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026Force-closedOver32c entry
-$330-100%

AC Horsens vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver36c entry
+$4,483179%

AC Horsens vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver19c entry
+$1,711342%

Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver59c entry
+$3,42969%

San Diego FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver68c entry
+$30312%

Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOver62c entry
+$1,19248%

SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldOver51c entry
+$2,88043%

KVC Westerlo vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldOver64c entry
+$1,11456%

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldOver44c entry
+$1757%

Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldOver43c entry
+$1,17979%

AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldOver58c entry
+$2,57972%

FK Borac Banja Luka vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldOver54c entry
+$99850%

FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC København: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldOver54c entry
-$386-10%

Getafe CF vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldOver21c entry
+$1,594319%

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldOver45c entry
+$1,40093%

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldOver38c entry
-$105-3%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldOver30c entry
+$1,091218%

FC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 20, 2026SoldOver49c entry
+$30255%

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldOver17c entry
+$1,226470%

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldOver47c entry
+$1,73258%

FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver62c entry
+$75813%

NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver43c entry
+$1,60792%

FK Jablonec vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver31c entry
+$20341%

SK Sturm Graz vs. Grazer AK 1902: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver39c entry
+$1,006155%

FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver29c entry
-$362-24%

Houston Dynamo vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver34c entry
+$1,481191%

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldOver33c entry
+$18934%

Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldOver50c entry
+$2,06898%

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldOver59c entry
-$9-0%

Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldOver34c entry
+$2,040190%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldOver50c entry
-$746-36%

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldOver41c entry
-$251-11%

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$173-46%

St. Louis City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldOver64c entry
-$1,866-62%

Lincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldOver29c entry
+$22445%

Lincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldOver53c entry
+$221%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldOver48c entry
+$3,124105%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldOver70c entry
+$68429%

Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026Force-closedOver67c entry
+$050%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026Force-closedOver38c entry
+$0168%

CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026Force-closedOver42c entry
-$1,832-100%

Shamrock Rovers vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldOver25c entry
+$80046%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs. Al Ain FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldOver37c entry
+$1,222104%

Real Oviedo vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldOver40c entry
-$34-3%

Real Oviedo vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldOver66c entry
-$26-2%