Leaderboard rank
#6
Over the last 90 days, Flipadelphia closed 107 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +120% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, Flipadelphia ranks among the most statistically skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently ranks #6 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+120%
Positions (90d)
107
96.9
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 107 resolved positions was +120%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-11?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
British Columbia Lions vs. Calgary Stampeders
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Chargers vs. Texans
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-09?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
CA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
CA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-11?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Dana White's Contender Series: Tom Pagliarulo vs. Ananias Mulumba (Featherweight, Main Card)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
CA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Manta FC win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Mushuc Runa SC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CD Tecnico Universitario win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: CD Tecnico Universitario (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-10?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Will CSD Macara win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-09?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 8, 2026