Leaderboard rank
#48
Over the last 90 days, BobInvestments closed 32 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +5% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, BobInvestments performs statistically in line with the average tracked trader and currently ranks #48 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+5%
Positions (90d)
32
56.4
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 32 resolved positions was +5%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Resolved Jul 22, 2026
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Resolved Jul 22, 2026
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Resolved Jul 17, 2026
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Resolved Jul 17, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Resolved Jul 13, 2026
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 29, 2026
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 24, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 18, 2026
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Jun 10, 2026
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 8, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Resolved Jun 4, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Resolved Jun 2, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Resolved Jun 1, 2026
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 29, 2026
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 29, 2026
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 29, 2026
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 29, 2026
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Resolved May 28, 2026
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Resolved May 28, 2026
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Resolved May 27, 2026
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Resolved May 27, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 22, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 22, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Resolved May 21, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Resolved May 20, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Resolved May 20, 2026