predictionlegend

This trader's average return across 3 resolved positions was +114%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly. It's first blended toward the average trader's return, in proportion to how much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven). A large, consistent sample lets the score move further from 50 in either direction.