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0x3dfb15...eeabaf

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, 0x3dfb15...eeabaf closed 17 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +82% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, 0x3dfb15...eeabaf has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #29 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#29

Sirtio score

87.9

Avg edge (per position)

+82%

Positions (90d)

17

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 17 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 95% of 0x3dfb15...eeabaf's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+82%

across 17 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+9.16

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

87.9

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$59,767 on "Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5" (a 96% return). The worst was a -$999 loss on "Spread: LSU (-2.5)".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Under

+$59,76796%

NC State vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt

+$28,81361%

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Milwaukee Brewers

+$26,05588%

Hawai'i vs. Wyoming

Wyoming

+$22,806144%

Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5

Under

+$21,60692%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Spread: LSU (-2.5)

LSU

-$999-5%

Spread: LSU (-3.5)

LSU

-$4-2%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 25, 2026)

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 28, 2026SoldRavens57c entry
+$47975%

Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5

Resolved Sep 28, 2026SoldOver54c entry
+$5,36785%

Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5

Resolved Sep 28, 2026SoldOver49c entry
+$10,476104%

Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldColts50c entry
+$18,125100%

Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldJaguars55c entry
+$14,96782%

Spread: Panthers (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldBrowns51c entry
+$13,24196%

Texans vs. Colts

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldColts47c entry
+$15,870113%

Spread: Lions (-7.5)

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldJets57c entry
+$19,06675%

Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5

Resolved Sep 27, 2026SoldUnder52c entry
+$21,60692%

Hawai'i vs. Wyoming

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldWyoming41c entry
+$22,806144%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldDetroit Tigers52c entry
+$18,68592%

Spread: LSU (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldLSU45c entry
-$4-2%

Spread: LSU (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldLSU55c entry
-$999-5%

NC State vs. Vanderbilt

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldVanderbilt62c entry
+$28,81361%

Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldUnder49c entry
+$12,906104%

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldUnder51c entry
+$59,76796%

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldMilwaukee Brewers53c entry
+$26,05588%