Over the last 30 days, SPY-KT closed 1 resolved position on Polymarket at an average return of +90% per position. That's too few resolved trades for Sirtio to say with any confidence how SPY-KT compares to the rest of the tracked pool -- at least 10 are required before a trader is ranked or placed in a tier.
Rank
Provisional -- needs 10+ resolved positions to rank
Sirtio score
59.0
Avg edge (per position)
+90%
Positions (30d)
1
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 1 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 99% of SPY-KT's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+90%
across 1 position
Z-score
+1.23
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
59.0
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$690 on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?" (a 90% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.