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SPY-KT

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, SPY-KT closed 206 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +29% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, SPY-KT shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #69 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#69

Sirtio score

69.5

Avg edge (per position)

+29%

Positions (90d)

206

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 206 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 58% of SPY-KT's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+29%

across 206 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+5.12

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

69.5

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$1,387 on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?" (a 370% return). The worst was a -$905 loss on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No

+$1,387370%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?

No

+$1,282142%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 29 above $195?

No

+$1,281207%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?

No

+$1,23086%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No

+$1,03095%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No

-$905-44%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

No

-$635-52%

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down

-$410-58%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes

-$300-90%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

No

-$299-14%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo53c entry
+$10227%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldNo75c entry
+$5219%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldNo50c entry
+$11948%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on August 30?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldYes18c entry
-$59-54%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo39c entry
+$64349%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo48c entry
+$1,23086%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$68753%

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?

Resolved Aug 28, 2026SoldYes41c entry
+$15128%

Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?

Resolved Aug 28, 2026SoldYes24c entry
+$12323%

Will Micron (MU) close above $880 end of August?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo39c entry
-$42-40%

Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of August?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo62c entry
-$26-18%

Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldYes11c entry
-$150-51%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldNo52c entry
-$13-7%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$3213%

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldNo47c entry
-$19-34%

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldYes16c entry
-$114-44%

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldYes63c entry
+$15758%

Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 17 above $980?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$1447%

Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 17 above $990?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$149%

Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 17 above $970?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$14-62%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$250-13%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$11559%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo27c entry
+$368252%

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldYes5c entry
-$2-4%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo34c entry
+$1,282142%

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$12940%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of August 17 2026?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldYes32c entry
+$1742%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 17 2026?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo65c entry
+$64%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of August 17 2026?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$16154%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$29930%

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo45c entry
-$23-25%

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$2310%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$9865%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026SoldNo12c entry
+$613306%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on August 18?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026SoldNo44c entry
-$9-12%

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026SoldYes31c entry
-$6-61%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldYes73c entry
-$7-10%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNo67c entry
-$299-14%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$5537%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldNo29c entry
+$218145%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$4434%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldNo31c entry
+$92184%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026SoldNo54c entry
+$21970%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$14197%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026SoldNo65c entry
-$15-3%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$2141%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$4832%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 10 2026?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026SoldYes75c entry
-$4-2%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?

Resolved Aug 9, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$10151%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?

Resolved Aug 8, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$5528%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldNo50c entry
+$35660%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldNo43c entry
+$169110%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldNo52c entry
+$16335%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$925%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5?

Resolved Aug 6, 2026SoldNo55c entry
+$25770%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldNo75c entry
-$905-44%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldNo59c entry
-$635-52%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldNo76c entry
-$2-7%

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldNo44c entry
-$103-28%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldNo59c entry
+$2917%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026?

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldYes50c entry
-$72-72%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldYes5c entry
-$16-40%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldYes21c entry
-$6-14%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on August 3?

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldYes70c entry
+$834%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldUp71c entry
-$23-7%

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldNo14c entry
+$1832%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldUp57c entry
+$7474%

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 end of July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$2157%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldNo38c entry
+$68243%

Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 31?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldUp79c entry
-$87-71%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$34931%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$35232%

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldNo25c entry
+$111221%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldNo49c entry
+$7984%

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes54c entry
-$118-8%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes27c entry
+$29156%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of July?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldNo65c entry
+$334%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$2342%

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$4211%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$37048%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of July?

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldYes61c entry
+$2447%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldNo56c entry
+$40763%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldYes46c entry
-$47-78%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldYes54c entry
-$31-61%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$16849%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldYes42c entry
+$420137%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldYes29c entry
-$45-45%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldNo75c entry
+$2227%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldNo74c entry
-$15-19%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldNo47c entry
-$10-20%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$1020%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $292.50 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$13%

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldYes4c entry
-$9-29%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$51-85%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$13737%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$16459%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldNo37c entry
+$23577%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 27 2026?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldYes53c entry
+$45487%

Ethereum above 1,890 on July 27, 8PM ET?

Resolved Jul 27, 2026SoldYes57c entry
-$18-26%

Ethereum above 1,930 on July 27, 7PM ET?

Resolved Jul 27, 2026SoldNo26c entry
+$26101%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?

Resolved Jul 27, 2026SoldNo74c entry
-$54-54%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldDown22c entry
-$9-16%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldUp21c entry
-$94-79%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldUp20c entry
-$61-72%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldUp20c entry
+$78302%

Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldUp20c entry
-$8-20%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldNo84c entry
-$1-1%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$7078%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$4551%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes27c entry
+$8089%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes29c entry
+$5662%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$5258%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes43c entry
+$1016%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldDown59c entry
+$1039%

Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 24?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldDown70c entry
+$1739%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 20 2026?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo67c entry
+$5746%

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$19518%

Ethereum above 1,900 on July 24, 4AM ET?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$52315%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo28c entry
-$20-39%

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo18c entry
+$116386%

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo35c entry
-$54-17%

Ethereum above 1,880 on July 23, 2PM ET?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo4c entry
+$6092437%

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo48c entry
+$4980%

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo15c entry
-$57-65%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo17c entry
+$1,387370%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo69c entry
-$196-58%

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo40c entry
+$203101%

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo54c entry
+$9347%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 21, 2026SoldNo32c entry
+$82168%

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 21, 2026SoldNo56c entry
-$82-33%

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Resolved Jul 20, 2026SoldNo70c entry
-$41-5%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$28638%

Will Micron (MU) close at <$880 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo36c entry
+$5518%

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldYes31c entry
-$1-1%

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldYes65c entry
+$3619%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$15579%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$1538%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$6150%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$3938%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$26538%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$2513%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldNo73c entry
-$2-6%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes54c entry
-$186-93%

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes15c entry
-$40-57%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes56c entry
-$10-87%

Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes76c entry
+$357%

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes5c entry
-$26-86%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes12c entry
-$300-90%

Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$22626%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldYes71c entry
-$33-23%

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldYes43c entry
+$5828%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldYes69c entry
-$78-78%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldNo41c entry
+$1,03095%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$15136%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$612%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$5619%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldNo43c entry
+$1530%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldNo61c entry
-$76-16%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 13 2026?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$167%

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$29040%

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldYes41c entry
+$31052%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldYes16c entry
-$40-79%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldYes54c entry
+$4018%

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Resolved Jul 11, 2026SoldYes36c entry
-$102-23%

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 11, 2026SoldYes18c entry
-$7-14%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 10?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldYes53c entry
-$15-16%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldYes64c entry
-$98-98%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$010%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$7931%

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldYes19c entry
-$9-30%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$15126%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$1633%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldNo46c entry
+$66109%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldYes31c entry
-$14-27%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldYes64c entry
-$102-23%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo40c entry
+$27277%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo54c entry
-$94-28%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$2532%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo30c entry
+$71134%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$4834%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$519%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldYes44c entry
+$153%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$8918%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$10-2%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldYes73c entry
-$14-7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$11220%

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo5c entry
-$69-98%

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo3c entry
-$92-92%

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$127%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo66c entry
-$8-1%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of July 6 2026?

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$1421%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldNo36c entry
-$34-23%

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$3221%

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldYes59c entry
-$101-48%

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldNo55c entry
+$5151%

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$2929%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$31644%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldYes8c entry
+$160400%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldNo67c entry
+$3821%

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldYes36c entry
+$134140%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 29 above $195?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026SoldNo23c entry
+$1,281207%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026SoldYes69c entry
+$23029%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026SoldYes77c entry
+$28319%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of June 29 2026?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026SoldYes16c entry
+$87349%

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026SoldYes24c entry
+$205320%

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026SoldYes27c entry
-$130-100%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$4766%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of June 29 2026?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026SoldYes23c entry
+$12244%

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026SoldNo65c entry
+$3033%

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026SoldNo88c entry
-$0-0%

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldYes93c entry
-$87-8%

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$127253%

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$50358%

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$421%

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldNo79c entry
+$1223%

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$2424%

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Resolved Jun 29, 2026SoldDown66c entry
-$410-58%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Resolved Jun 29, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$3124%