--> Back to leaderboard

bluemario

View on Polymarket

Tier

Elite

Over the last 30 days, bluemario closed 132 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +47% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, bluemario ranks among the most skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently sits at rank #9 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#9

Sirtio score

96.5

Avg edge (per position)

+47%

Positions (30d)

132

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 132 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 74% of bluemario's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+47%

across 132 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+10.39

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

96.5

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$106,461 on "FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5" (a 94% return). The worst was a -$9,063 loss on "Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5

Under

+$106,46194%

KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Over

+$104,47037%

Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

Under

+$75,24880%

PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 1.5

Under

+$68,13360%

Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5

Under

+$49,225200%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Under

-$9,063-45%

Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Under

-$8,456-78%

Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5

Over

-$2,457-42%

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

No

-$1,875-17%

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5

Over

-$1,155-49%

All Positions (Last 30 Days)

Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder65c entry
-$8,456-78%

Al Sadd SC vs. Al-Shamal: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder50c entry
+$246%

Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026RedeemedUnder66c entry
+$1452%

Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder51c entry
-$479-45%

Persebaya Surabaya vs. Persijap Jepara: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder61c entry
+$30716%

Persebaya Surabaya vs. Persijap Jepara: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder57c entry
+$28218%

Java United FC vs. Bhayangkara Presisi Lampung FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder56c entry
+$30020%

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldUnder59c entry
+$46319%

Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Oct 30, 2026RedeemedYes97c entry
+$1773%

Kuopion Palloseura vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedUnder65c entry
+$2,30955%

Envigado FC vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldUnder71c entry
+$12211%

Antequera CF vs. Águilas FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldUnder61c entry
+$6715%

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldUnder74c entry
+$2019%

CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldUnder64c entry
+$41413%

Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedUnder48c entry
+$3,586108%

Clube do Remo vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldUnder50c entry
+$46015%

AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedUnder61c entry
+$3,23565%

CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 26, 2026RedeemedUnder50c entry
+$4,095100%

CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldUnder58c entry
+$2,86871%

CA Banfield vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026RedeemedUnder60c entry
+$1,92467%

Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder19c entry
+$5,08441%

Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Resolved Oct 24, 2026Force-closedOver53c entry
-$868-100%

FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder21c entry
+$5,32162%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder31c entry
-$605-13%

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder48c entry
+$1407%

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldNo78c entry
-$1,875-17%

FK Liepaja vs. FK Tukums 2000/TSS: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder11c entry
+$35,898165%

Isenmulang Kalteng FC vs. Psim Yogyakarta: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder27c entry
+$6,96046%

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldNo35c entry
-$211-6%

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldOver44c entry
-$1,155-49%

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder67c entry
-$291-66%

Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder51c entry
+$2,36954%

Atlante FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026RedeemedUnder60c entry
+$4,24754%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder50c entry
+$39018%

CA Tigre vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder87c entry
+$1,32014%

Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldUnder50c entry
+$75,24880%

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder60c entry
+$36,59434%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder51c entry
+$11,97749%

Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$37025%

Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder14c entry
+$13425%

Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldOver52c entry
-$2,457-42%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026Force-closedUnder32c entry
-$9,063-45%

Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedUnder93c entry
+$1,6677%

Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder13c entry
+$4315%

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026Force-closedUnder30c entry
+$0233%

CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder59c entry
+$34,56059%

CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldUnder31c entry
+$7,180123%

KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldOver57c entry
+$104,47037%

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder93c entry
+$8,6068%

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$11,02588%

Madura United vs. Persib Bandung: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder17c entry
+$13,714145%

PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026RedeemedUnder60c entry
+$68,13360%

PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder23c entry
+$13,82683%

Persik Kediri vs. PSS Sleman: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder11c entry
+$4414%

Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldKatarzyna Kawa16c entry
+$4,17957%

Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldJasmine Paolini52c entry
+$4,24817%

CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder59c entry
+$28541%

CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder34c entry
+$2,65916%

SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder60c entry
+$2,09248%

SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder21c entry
+$63626%

FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder26c entry
+$106,46194%

Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder95c entry
+$1,6555%

FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldUnder16c entry
+$39016%

Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder13c entry
+$31,433206%

Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldTommy Paul67c entry
+$18,39135%

Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder15c entry
+$49,225200%

Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder36c entry
+$986%

Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder39c entry
+$29,20499%

Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$3,51556%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder22c entry
+$5210%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$8940%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldOver23c entry
-$14-9%

Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder30c entry
+$83373%

FC Tōkyō vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder14c entry
+$7,415131%

Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldUnder21c entry
+$9124%

Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 20, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$3,217148%

Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?

Resolved Oct 20, 2026SoldYes74c entry
+$21411%

Dewa United vs. Persijap Jepara: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 20, 2026SoldUnder14c entry
+$3,615100%

SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder59c entry
+$1,53258%

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder54c entry
+$2,62439%

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder57c entry
+$6,46345%

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder20c entry
+$16719%

RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026Force-closedUnder46c entry
+$3,32238%

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder16c entry
-$11-69%

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder9c entry
+$6,812176%

Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder49c entry
+$5,49468%

Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$4,101117%

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder35c entry
+$59%

FC RFS vs. FK Tukums 2000/TSS: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder11c entry
+$3,742164%

Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 19, 2026SoldUnder21c entry
+$15124%

CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder17c entry
+$5,37084%

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder20c entry
+$1,83664%

Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder19c entry
+$5,47673%

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$1,44961%

FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder36c entry
+$10,53774%

FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder23c entry
+$19315%

FC Machida Zelvia vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder26c entry
+$3,50058%

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder25c entry
+$3545%

Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldUnder19c entry
+$130%

Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 18, 2026RedeemedUnder13c entry
+$2,77077%

Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-21?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026Force-closedYes96c entry
+$04%

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldOver50c entry
+$7014%

1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$3,63060%

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder26c entry
+$1,58160%

Middlesbrough FC vs. Cardiff City FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$9120%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder16c entry
+$65041%

Kashiwa Reysol vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$4,399145%

FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder14c entry
+$2,53283%

JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$4,387112%

Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldUnder23c entry
+$1019%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldUnder15c entry
+$5,06072%

Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldUnder29c entry
+$6,00151%

FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldUnder11c entry
+$88153%

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldUnder10c entry
+$2,80086%

Henan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldUnder25c entry
+$7,06467%

SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldUnder20c entry
+$1,19838%

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldUnder24c entry
+$8,85988%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldUnder18c entry
+$3,93486%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldUnder28c entry
+$11,44167%

Kashiwa Reysol vs. Port FC: O/U 7.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldUnder57c entry
+$1,46332%

Vissel Kobe vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldUnder22c entry
+$1,98645%

Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldUnder26c entry
+$4,58859%

Wrexham AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldUnder29c entry
+$1,04034%

Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldUnder26c entry
+$8,85855%

Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldUnder22c entry
+$105%

Buriram United vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldUnder20c entry
+$6,29081%

Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder80c entry
+$24,44324%

Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder79c entry
+$19,62027%

Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder30c entry
+$1,08136%

Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder19c entry
+$54450%

Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder12c entry
+$5,343100%

Vaasan Palloseura vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder21c entry
+$2,35590%

Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder27c entry
+$5,30550%

Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 1.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder11c entry
+$5,648116%

Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 6.5

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldUnder93c entry
+$4856%