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dad168168

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, dad168168 closed 38 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +82% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, dad168168 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #55 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#55

Sirtio score

74.1

Avg edge (per position)

+82%

Positions (90d)

38

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 38 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 74% of dad168168's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+82%

across 38 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+6.54

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

74.1

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$22,713 on "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs" (a 56% return). The worst was a -$2,502 loss on "LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports

+$22,71356%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Dplus KIA

+$22,263213%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Hanwha Life Esports

+$13,21794%

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

KT Rolster

+$12,003234%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

JD Gaming

+$11,506175%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

Top Esports

-$2,502-81%

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

T1

-$925-74%

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes

-$600-100%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes

-$231-16%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 2, 2026)

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldJD Gaming44c entry
+$8,627126%

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldTop Esports42c entry
+$1,701138%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldGen.G57c entry
+$1,74075%

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026Force-closedYes31c entry
-$600-100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldT146c entry
+$2,426117%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldDplus KIA32c entry
+$22,263213%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports64c entry
+$22,71356%

LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Resolved Aug 29, 2026SoldLGD Gaming34c entry
+$3,679194%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldKT Rolster76c entry
+$8,59632%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming69c entry
+$3,66345%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldNongshim Red Force50c entry
+$4,159100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports53c entry
+$98288%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldJD Gaming36c entry
+$11,506175%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas56c entry
+$1,32878%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas35c entry
+$3,894185%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldTeam Yandex36c entry
+$3,023175%

LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldTeam WE44c entry
+$1,976127%

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming61c entry
+$2,05564%

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldT163c entry
+$2,58359%

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldT167c entry
+$3,29049%

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldKT Rolster30c entry
+$12,003234%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam WE37c entry
+$8,538168%

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming80c entry
+$6,56425%

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldNongshim Red Force50c entry
+$5,446100%

LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldJD Gaming40c entry
+$11653%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports51c entry
+$13,21794%

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldInvictus Gaming59c entry
+$3,68169%

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldGen.G58c entry
+$10,65272%

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldGen.G53c entry
+$17388%

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldJD Gaming65c entry
+$1,74554%

LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam WE36c entry
+$178178%

LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldLGD Gaming62c entry
+$6161%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming58c entry
+$1,38372%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming57c entry
+$1656%

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 8, 2026SoldT150c entry
-$925-74%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldTop Esports55c entry
-$2,502-81%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldG2 Esports79c entry
+$53426%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldYes14c entry
-$231-16%