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Haradwaith

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, Haradwaith closed 419 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +4% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Haradwaith shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #94 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#94

Sirtio score

68.8

Avg edge (per position)

+4%

Positions (90d)

419

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 419 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 57% of Haradwaith's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+4%

across 419 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+3.66

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

68.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$1,215 on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" (a 129% return). The worst was a -$209 loss on "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

+$1,215129%

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Yes

+$355203%

Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 55.5

Over

+$16650%

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

Yes

+$143316%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No

+$14082%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes

-$209-11%

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No

-$72-14%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?

Yes

-$28-45%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 13?

No

-$28-26%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?

Yes

-$27-3%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 11, 2026)

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes56c entry
-$16-4%

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes77c entry
+$11%

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$00%

Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$52%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes67c entry
+$13%

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$05%

Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes73c entry
+$812%

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes65c entry
-$209-11%

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes12c entry
+$08%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes38c entry
-$1-1%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo39c entry
+$14%

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes61c entry
+$18%

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes51c entry
-$3-3%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$28125%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes79c entry
+$10%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes85c entry
-$8-2%

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$00%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$01%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes11c entry
-$2-7%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$12%

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$13%

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes92c entry
+$23%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$11%

Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes82c entry
+$33%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes89c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$10%

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes78c entry
+$10%

Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes40c entry
-$0-5%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes53c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes50c entry
-$1-3%

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo79c entry
+$121%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo59c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo43c entry
-$4-18%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes94c entry
+$10%

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes63c entry
+$43%

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo79c entry
-$5-2%

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$74%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$42%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes44c entry
+$25%

Exact Score: CD Guastatoya 1 - 0 CSD Xelajú MC?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$53%

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$2226%

Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$21%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo3c entry
-$0-6%

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes69c entry
+$00%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes40c entry
+$1,215129%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes45c entry
-$8-6%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes27c entry
-$3-12%

Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes86c entry
-$0-3%

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo94c entry
-$1-2%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$11%

Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes76c entry
+$01%

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$00%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo56c entry
+$12%

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes40c entry
+$33%

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$34%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes9c entry
+$06%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$0-0%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo87c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes53c entry
-$7-7%

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo52c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes37c entry
+$104%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$03%

Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$22%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes76c entry
+$45%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
-$1-7%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$03%

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
-$1-1%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes46c entry
-$3-3%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes90c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo66c entry
-$4-4%

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes67c entry
-$1-0%

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldZero Tenacity19c entry
+$1143%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$60%

Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$317%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes27c entry
-$1-8%

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes72c entry
+$76%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo71c entry
-$1-9%

Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$04%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$188%

Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes88c entry
+$01%

SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldOver99c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes13c entry
-$1-6%

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$00%

Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldAkbar Abdullaev91c entry
+$11%

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes68c entry
+$42%

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$143316%

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$121%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$25%

Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$103%

Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$12%

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$44%

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes42c entry
-$5-19%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes45c entry
-$2-2%

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$75%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes47c entry
-$1-2%

Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$049%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes53c entry
-$2-6%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo61c entry
-$0-0%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$414%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo79c entry
+$182%

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo83c entry
-$1-3%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes58c entry
-$5-3%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes71c entry
+$11%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo64c entry
-$3-25%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes54c entry
-$24-11%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes19c entry
+$00%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$44%

Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes38c entry
+$22%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$00%

Valorant: Gen.G GC vs Rising Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldGen.G GC84c entry
+$01%

Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes13c entry
-$0-5%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes23c entry
+$47221%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes76c entry
+$688%

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$00%

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes56c entry
+$01%

Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$13%

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$15%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$11%

Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$00%

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes35c entry
+$1514%

Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$13737%

Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$00%

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$10%

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes29c entry
-$5-18%

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$12%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes84c entry
-$0-0%

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes42c entry
-$28-45%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$333%

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes70c entry
-$2-6%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$16%

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$22%

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes18c entry
-$0-1%

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$52%

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes34c entry
-$1-3%

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$113%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$21%

Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo74c entry
-$0-1%

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$12%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$53%

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes93c entry
+$41%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$1955%

Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes94c entry
+$11%

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$51%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$00%

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$6824%

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo46c entry
+$133%

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes19c entry
+$02%

Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$106%

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$43%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes19c entry
-$10-29%

Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes63c entry
-$2-3%

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes75c entry
-$1-0%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$45%

Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$01%

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$2-9%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo4c entry
+$1419%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo41c entry
+$00%

Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo83c entry
-$2-10%

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes29c entry
+$27179%

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$61%

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$426%

Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes89c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo67c entry
-$0-27%

Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes81c entry
+$13%

Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$03%

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes54c entry
+$258%

Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes53c entry
+$42%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$46%

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$111%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$12%

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$33%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$35%

Will the PQ win 70-74 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$138%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo42c entry
-$0-0%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$423%

Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo33c entry
+$16%

Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$16%

Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$14%

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$00%

Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes6c entry
+$375%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$1210%

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$00%

Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes40c entry
+$619%

Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$02%

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$42%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes42c entry
-$5-11%

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes83c entry
+$00%

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$16%

Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$29%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo55c entry
-$10-10%

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$23%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$23%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$13%

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo84c entry
-$4-9%

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes90c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes44c entry
+$610%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes72c entry
+$54%

Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$43%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$02%

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes80c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes35c entry
-$1-34%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes84c entry
+$74%

Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
-$2-2%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$1321%

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes62c entry
-$6-1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes97c entry
+$00%

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$24%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldUnder60c entry
+$513%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes38c entry
+$02%

Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes35c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes87c entry
+$10%

Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes66c entry
-$1-15%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes40c entry
-$3-9%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes23c entry
+$115%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$18%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes59c entry
-$27-3%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$11%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo75c entry
-$7-10%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
-$28-26%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$643%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo57c entry
-$22-37%

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 15?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$09%

Will Iowa have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo18c entry
+$7456%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 5%-10%?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$01%

Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$15%

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes72c entry
+$33%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$63%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes3c entry
+$13746%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
-$2-2%

Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$211%

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes77c entry
-$2-12%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo77c entry
-$0-8%

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo36c entry
+$027%

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes93c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo73c entry
-$18-39%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$33%

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$01%

Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo20c entry
+$05%

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo42c entry
+$27%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$561%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes45c entry
-$23-24%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes22c entry
-$1-27%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo80c entry
-$8-5%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$01%

Will Cristiano Ronaldo retire before 1 July 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1127%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$46%

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo52c entry
-$6-17%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$1810%

Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo54c entry
+$24%

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$01%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$019%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 45%-50%?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes3c entry
+$1100%

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo35c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes60c entry
-$14-34%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$72%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes21c entry
-$1-38%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$44%

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$355203%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$2221%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$0245%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$22%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes29c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$311%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes37c entry
+$22%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes25c entry
-$9-36%

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes42c entry
+$22%

Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes78c entry
+$2910%

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$1132%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$00%

Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$13%

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$01%

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$220%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo90c entry
-$0-3%

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes68c entry
+$01%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes46c entry
-$9-13%

Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$010%

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$05%

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 45+ goals in the 2026-27 season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes25c entry
-$2-57%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo84c entry
-$12-6%

Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$038%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$18%

Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$410%

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedYes16c entry
+$18525%

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$87173%

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes9c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$11%

Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$23%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$00%

Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$17%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo59c entry
+$670%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$1633%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo75c entry
-$3-4%

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo55c entry
-$2-5%

Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes53c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes69c entry
+$2511%

Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes9c entry
+$027%

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo50c entry
+$2071%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes9c entry
+$011%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo42c entry
-$2-17%

Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$07%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes26c entry
-$15-40%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$22%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes57c entry
-$0-0%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$72%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo18c entry
+$19432%

Spread: Texas (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldOhio State48c entry
+$7516%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$1518%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes84c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes47c entry
-$6-8%

Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo68c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes8c entry
-$0-13%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$17%

Will Trump attend UFC 331?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$00%

Will Club ABB win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$53%

Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo22c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$1100%

Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes71c entry
+$01%

Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo14c entry
+$07%

Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$243%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$31%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes82c entry
+$343%

Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes19c entry
+$247%

Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo55c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo57c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 14?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on September 13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$42%

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo37c entry
+$25%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes29c entry
-$5-9%

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes36c entry
+$07%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$21%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes88c entry
+$41%

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$00%

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$13%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo10c entry
+$25%

Georgia State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 54.5

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldUnder49c entry
+$24%

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo77c entry
-$72-14%

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$111%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$17%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$01%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$569%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$00%

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo49c entry
-$4-6%

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$11%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo60c entry
-$3-3%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes9c entry
+$24631%

Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo58c entry
-$0-2%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes36c entry
+$16%

UC Davis vs. SMU

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldSMU98c entry
+$12%

Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$2156%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$01%

Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$03%

Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo41c entry
+$23142%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$00%

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$1418%

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo49c entry
+$02%

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes19c entry
-$0-5%

Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes62c entry
+$3625%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes63c entry
+$00%

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes28c entry
-$4-10%

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$11%

Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$01%

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$4761%

Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 55.5

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldOver48c entry
+$16650%

Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$013%

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes35c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$24107%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes26c entry
-$1-4%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes98c entry
+$00%

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes10c entry
+$12900%

Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo8c entry
+$013%

Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$00%

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes37c entry
+$22118%

Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$1437%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$33%

Brock Bowers: Anytime Touchdown

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$13%

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes78c entry
+$105%

Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$285%

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$11%

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo35c entry
+$1396%

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$22%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$639%

Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo75c entry
+$01%

Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$115%

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$10%

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America - Regional Final Playoffs

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldKRÜ Blaze23c entry
+$15%

Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$12%

Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes61c entry
+$26%

Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes73c entry
+$03%

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$22%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo88c entry
-$5-2%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo60c entry
-$14-5%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes68c entry
+$13%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes82c entry
+$01%

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$34%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$14%

Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes23c entry
+$17192%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$114%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$2962%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes73c entry
-$0-1%

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$64%

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-7%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$018%

Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$047%

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$23%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$2465%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$72%

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$00%

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$149%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 14?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes8c entry
+$339%

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo43c entry
+$12%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$00%

Spread: Alabama A&M (-13.5)

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldTennessee State91c entry
+$13%

Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$13%

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$113%

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes89c entry
+$22%

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$11%

Tulsa vs. Sam Houston: O/U 50.5

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldOver52c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes24c entry
+$14%

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes52c entry
-$6-21%

Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes12c entry
+$921%

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes87c entry
+$26%

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedNo7c entry
+$01290%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes84c entry
-$0-1%

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldUp45c entry
+$33%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 13?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo44c entry
+$12%

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes77c entry
+$030%

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo84c entry
-$1-4%

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo38c entry
-$3-8%

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026MergedYes20c entry
+$0400%

Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes91c entry
-$1-10%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$22%

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo98c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$213%

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$9630%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$12%

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo22c entry
-$2-14%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes74c entry
+$72%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$24%

Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes44c entry
-$1-23%

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes77c entry
+$22%

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$1254%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes3c entry
+$133%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo29c entry
+$014%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes74c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$03%

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes25c entry
-$1-3%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes49c entry
-$3-41%

Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$010%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$26%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$11%

Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes16c entry
+$06%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$11%

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$04%

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes10c entry
-$0-4%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo79c entry
-$0-5%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes71c entry
+$01%

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes7c entry
+$36%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$22%

Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$04%

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$04%

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes80c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$13%

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$04%

Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-09-11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes35c entry
-$0-9%

Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes95c entry
-$1-2%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$11%

Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$00%

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$34%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$14%

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$12%

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes5c entry
+$120%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$01%

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$11%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$21%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 25%-30%?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$16%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes63c entry
+$01%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$111%

Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$246%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes67c entry
-$1-2%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$3107%

Will Málaga finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$01%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$127%

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes29c entry
-$2-31%

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$11%

Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo1c entry
+$0150%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$09%

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$31%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes54c entry
+$42%

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes35c entry
+$7182%

NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$03%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$21%

Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo89c entry
-$5-5%

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$00%

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$40%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$74%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$13%

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$09%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$31%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo65c entry
+$23%

Norfolk State vs. Virginia

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldVirginia99c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$00%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes65c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$00%

Iran coup attempt by December 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$212%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo74c entry
-$5-6%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes42c entry
-$4-9%

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$010%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes99c entry
+$00%

Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo18c entry
+$24293%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$0-0%

Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo32c entry
+$30213%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$17%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes63c entry
+$13%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$332%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes18c entry
+$721%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$329%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo71c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes50c entry
-$10-20%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$31%

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$121%

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo28c entry
+$04%

Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes58c entry
+$12%

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo52c entry
-$0-2%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo50c entry
+$04%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes24c entry
-$0-8%

Will USD be between 2.8M and 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$04%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldUp55c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$01%

Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo87c entry
-$1-1%

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes2c entry
+$150%

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo59c entry
+$12%

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$01%

Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$13%

Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldPhilip Sekulic47c entry
+$74%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$11%

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$19%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes49c entry
-$5-10%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$12%

Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo65c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes20c entry
-$2-45%

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$02%

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the November 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes2c entry
+$0318%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes36c entry
-$5-21%

Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes14c entry
+$1614%

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo59c entry
+$322%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$06%

Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$23%

Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$1108%

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$222%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$109%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo44c entry
+$12%

Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes93c entry
+$01%

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes57c entry
+$075%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$232%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo31c entry
+$26%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes54c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo67c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$110%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo55c entry
+$14082%

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$1031%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 12?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$01%

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$06%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$22%

Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo58c entry
+$872%

Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$01%

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes75c entry
+$33%

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 11?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$02%

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$32113%

Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$425%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$7361%

Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$337%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 25%-30%?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%