Over the last 30 days, Zzzz87 closed 41 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +42% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Zzzz87 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #76 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#76
Sirtio score
71.0
Avg edge (per position)
+42%
Positions (30d)
41
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 41 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 98% of Zzzz87's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+42%
across 41 positions
Z-score
+2.80
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
71.0
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$4,023 on "Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?" (a 112% return). The worst was a -$7,468 loss on "Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
Yes
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
Yes
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Anyones Legend
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Anyones Legend
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LYON
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LYON
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
Timberwolves
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
Timberwolves
Raptors vs. Wizards
Wizards
Raptors vs. Wizards
Wizards
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
Under
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
Under
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?
Yes
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?
Yes
New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Panthers vs. Jets
Panthers vs. Jets
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Raptors vs. Wizards
Raptors vs. Wizards
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?
Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox