Tier
Below average
Over the last 90 days, rainbowlilies closed 307 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of -4% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, rainbowlilies has underperformed the average tracked trader over this window and currently sits at rank #477 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#477
Sirtio score
37.2
Avg edge (per position)
-4%
Positions (90d)
307
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
-4%
across 307 positions
Z-score
-2.42
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
37.2
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$1,895 on "Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?" (a 18% return). The worst was a -$4,285 loss on "Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?".
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.