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tes21sa

View on Polymarket

Tier

Break even

Over the last 90 days, tes21sa closed 14 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +85% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, tes21sa performs about in line with the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #62 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#62

Sirtio score

50.6

Avg edge (per position)

+85%

Positions (90d)

14

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+85%

across 14 positions

Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+1.12

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

50.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$19,049 on "National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech" (a 178% return). The worst was a -$2,400 loss on "Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-26?". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

Arthur Rinderknech

+$19,049178%

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Morocco

+$2,945764%

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes

+$2,897290%

Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper

Terence Atmane

+$9806%

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway

+$1152929%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-26?

Yes

-$2,400-50%

Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-26?

Yes

-$26-0%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays

-$3-2%

All Positions (Since Tracked (Aug 27, 2026))

MarketPnLReturn

Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-26?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

-$26-0%

Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-26?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

-$2,400-50%

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

+$212%

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

+$19,049178%

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

+$352%

National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

+$23%

Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

+$9806%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

+$424%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

-$3-2%

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

+$1152929%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

+$116%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

+$24128%

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

+$2,945764%

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

+$2,897290%