Tier
Great
Over the last 30 days, MaoZeDonK closed 31 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +98% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, MaoZeDonK has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #26 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#26
Sirtio score
91.4
Avg edge (per position)
+98%
Positions (30d)
31
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 31 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 99% of MaoZeDonK's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+98%
across 31 positions
Z-score
+7.38
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
91.4
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$4,459 on "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner" (a 109% return). The worst was a -$3,850 loss on "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner".
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
MOUZ
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
MOUZ
LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
Movistar KOI Fénix
LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
Movistar KOI Fénix
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Top Esports
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Top Esports
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B
LEGION
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B
LEGION
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Top Esports
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Top Esports
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Cloud9
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Cloud9
Lakers vs. Warriors
Lakers
Lakers vs. Warriors
Lakers
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Knicks
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Knicks
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Lakers vs. Warriors
Lakers vs. Warriors
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong
Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 2.5
AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 2.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner