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MaoZeDonK

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, MaoZeDonK closed 53 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +87% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, MaoZeDonK has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #30 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#30

Sirtio score

79.7

Avg edge (per position)

+87%

Positions (90d)

53

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 53 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 96% of MaoZeDonK's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+87%

across 53 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+8.50

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

79.7

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$15,714 on "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner" (a 136% return). The worst was a -$4,571 loss on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner

Sangal

+$15,714136%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Anyones Legend

+$10,590104%

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

1win

+$9,59990%

LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

Cloud9

+$7,03472%

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Yellow Submarine

+$6,818121%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No

-$4,571-25%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Iron Wing

-$3,990-100%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

GamerLegion

-$3,838-100%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Under

-$2,000-100%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No

-$480-32%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 2, 2026)

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved Sep 26, 2026Force-closedTeam Nemesis37c entry
+$3,517170%

LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldRED Canids19c entry
+$323163%

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo56c entry
-$1-4%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo51c entry
-$39-23%

Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldUnder57c entry
+$1,53775%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo63c entry
-$480-32%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 24, 2026Force-closedGamerLegion28c entry
-$3,838-100%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo36c entry
+$5858%

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldTeam Liquid40c entry
+$6,035153%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldAurora54c entry
+$58385%

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo50c entry
-$93-5%

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo35c entry
+$53548%

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYellow Submarine45c entry
+$6,818121%

FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldUnder45c entry
+$1,223122%

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYakult Brothers49c entry
+$1,027104%

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldSangal42c entry
+$15,714136%

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 21, 2026Sold1win53c entry
+$9,59990%

Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Resolved Sep 17, 2026Force-closedTeam Lynx52c entry
-$31-100%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldGen.G58c entry
+$2,86874%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo48c entry
-$4,571-25%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldAnyones Legend49c entry
+$10,590104%

LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedSK Gaming49c entry
+$1,040104%

LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedSK Gaming50c entry
+$203102%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedUnder50c entry
-$2,000-100%

AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 29, 2026SoldOver59c entry
+$69369%

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 29, 2026Sold Pipsqueak+447c entry
+$685114%

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldFURIA56c entry
+$2,64878%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldTop Esports37c entry
+$3,868170%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION50c entry
+$1,497100%

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Resolved Aug 17, 2026SoldSentinels40c entry
+$3,352147%

LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 17, 2026SoldCloud958c entry
+$7,03472%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldFnatic46c entry
+$1,874116%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldFnatic29c entry
+$2,622244%

LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldpaiN Gaming42c entry
+$1,447138%

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026Sold9z63c entry
+$59259%

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldUnder46c entry
+$1,172117%

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy50c entry
+$562100%

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldBoomBoys45c entry
+$775123%

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTeam Resilience48c entry
+$1,949108%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldJD Gaming44c entry
+$2,226128%

LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldLGD Gaming62c entry
+$61161%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldIron Wing39c entry
+$2,627153%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldIron Wing41c entry
-$3,990-100%

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 8, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports54c entry
+$28986%

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 8, 2026SoldWeibo Gaming43c entry
+$529132%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 6, 2026SoldKiwoom DRX55c entry
+$40883%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 6, 2026SoldT154c entry
+$62584%

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Aug 6, 2026SoldThunderTalk Gaming45c entry
+$610122%

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldTop Esports59c entry
+$10469%

Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Resolved Aug 5, 2026Sold1win52c entry
+$69893%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION49c entry
+$822104%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION38c entry
+$656164%

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldPlayTime38c entry
+$495165%

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports38c entry
+$523161%