Tier
Good
Over the last 90 days, ripley86alien closed 2 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +78% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, ripley86alien shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #87 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#87
Sirtio score
60.3
Avg edge (per position)
+78%
Positions (90d)
2
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+78%
across 2 positions
Z-score
+1.55
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
60.3
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$997,431 on "Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?" (a 102% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?
Yes
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?
Yes
No losing positions in this window.
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?
Resolved Aug 23, 2026