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kilian7kilian

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 30 days, kilian7kilian closed 15 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +48% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, kilian7kilian shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #91 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#91

Sirtio score

65.6

Avg edge (per position)

+48%

Positions (30d)

15

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+48%

across 15 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+2.71

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

65.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

All Positions (Last 30 Days)

This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.