Tier
Break even
Over the last 90 days, kilian7kilian closed 2 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +113% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, kilian7kilian performs about in line with the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #84 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#84
Sirtio score
61.8
Avg edge (per position)
+113%
Positions (90d)
2
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+113%
across 2 positions
Z-score
+1.92
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
61.8
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$207,621 on "Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?" (a 194% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?
Yes
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
Kei Nishikori
No losing positions in this window.
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?
Resolved Aug 25, 2026
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
Resolved Aug 25, 2026