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JnStTrdrBnusFnd

View on Polymarket

Leaderboard rank

#43

Over the last 90 days, JnStTrdrBnusFnd closed 3 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +12% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, JnStTrdrBnusFnd shows a real, if more moderate, edge over the average tracked trader and currently ranks #43 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Avg edge (per position)

+12%

Positions (90d)

3

Sirtio Score breakdown

60.4

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

This trader's average return across 3 resolved positions was +12%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.

Z-score+1.07

All positions (last 90 days)

MarketPnLReturn

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

+$1398%

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

+$2K11%

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

+$2K16%