Tier
Great
Over the last 30 days, rabbitfoot1 closed 11 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +81% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, rabbitfoot1 has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #51 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#51
Sirtio score
81.7
Avg edge (per position)
+81%
Positions (30d)
11
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 11 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 98% of rabbitfoot1's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+81%
across 11 positions
Z-score
+4.69
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
81.7
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$58,638 on "Sharks vs. Senators" (a 127% return). The worst was a -$6 loss on "Will Walsall FC win on 2026-10-03?". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Sharks vs. Senators
Sharks
Sharks vs. Senators
Sharks
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
Under
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
Under
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
Under
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
Under
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 209.5
Over
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 209.5
Over
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
Over
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
Over
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-10-03?
Yes
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-10-03?
Yes
Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5)
Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5)
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5
Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5
Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5
Lexington SC vs. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC: O/U 2.5
Lexington SC vs. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC: O/U 2.5
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 209.5
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 209.5
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: O/U 2.5
Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: O/U 2.5
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
Sharks vs. Senators
Sharks vs. Senators
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-10-03?
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-10-03?