--> Back to leaderboard

totoro3miyazaki

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, totoro3miyazaki closed 8 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +54% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, totoro3miyazaki shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #72 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#72

Sirtio score

74.4

Avg edge (per position)

+54%

Positions (90d)

8

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 8 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 55% of totoro3miyazaki's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+54%

across 8 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.94

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

74.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$537,142 on "Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?" (a 23% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report.

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?

Yes

+$537,14223%

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?

Yes

+$514,95990%

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?

Yes

+$425,26093%

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-06?

Yes

+$351,02681%

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?

Yes

+$206,58424%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

No losing positions in this window.

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 6, 2026)

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026RedeemedNo66c entry
+$169,35952%

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026RedeemedYes81c entry
+$206,58424%

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026RedeemedYes53c entry
+$514,95990%

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026RedeemedYes52c entry
+$425,26093%

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026RedeemedYes81c entry
+$537,14223%

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026RedeemedNo66c entry
+$162,65751%

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova

Resolved Sep 7, 2026RedeemedMirra Andreeva85c entry
+$35,18017%

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-06?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026RedeemedYes55c entry
+$351,02681%