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purplegatto

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, purplegatto closed 179 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +18% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, purplegatto has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #58 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#58

Sirtio score

79.1

Avg edge (per position)

+18%

Positions (30d)

179

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 179 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 89% of purplegatto's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+18%

across 179 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.16

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

79.1

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$8,929 on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?" (a 49% return). The worst was a -$1,742 loss on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes

+$8,92949%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Yes

+$6,74779%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$5,60641%

Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)

Jacksonville State

+$5,243117%

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes

+$4,083136%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes

-$1,742-7%

Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5

Under

-$1,179-100%

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Yes

-$638-35%

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Yes

-$520-9%

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes

-$258-1%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 16, 2026)

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Oct 30, 2026Force-closedAmaru Gaming21c entry
+$174376%

Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026Force-closedUnder54c entry
-$1,179-100%

Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedJacksonville State46c entry
+$5,243117%

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5

Resolved Oct 27, 2026RedeemedOver95c entry
+$1245%

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$3-10%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$22%

Trump meets with Putin by November 30?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-1%

Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNamibia51c entry
-$2-2%

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-4%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes64c entry
+$1311%

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$84%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$5219%

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$61%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$9-3%

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo13c entry
+$32661%

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$2-3%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes87c entry
+$1415%

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes2c entry
+$1285522%

Pistons vs. Knicks

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedPistons49c entry
+$22%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$56556%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$4-0%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$23-3%

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$61%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$28-3%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$27-1%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$71%

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes74c entry
+$2511%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$10-1%

Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$185%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$12-1%

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$121%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$19410%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$100-5%

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedWarriors48c entry
+$144%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-1%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$6,74779%

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$394%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedTampa Bay Rays56c entry
-$9-10%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$7-3%

Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$4939%

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-0%

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes77c entry
-$638-35%

Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-4%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes82c entry
+$7312%

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$237%

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-0%

Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-0%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$34-4%

Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-0%

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo28c entry
+$964253%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes0c entry
+$61722947%

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes78c entry
+$8428%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$5,60641%

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$44-5%

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$5-0%

Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$5-0%

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes69c entry
+$26318%

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes23c entry
+$749342%

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$7-0%

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$70%

Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$4-3%

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$49941%

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$30023%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$1,23257%

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$14-1%

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-0%

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$1842%

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$214%

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$11-0%

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$5-2%

Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$312%

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$19-0%

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$81730%

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$342%

Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$8-0%

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$59072%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$1,16616%

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$160-2%

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$309%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$1,06619%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$67-2%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$221%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$1,39230%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$73435%

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$9-1%

Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$36-0%

Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$19-0%

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-0%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$3,36366%

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$66714%

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$53715%

Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$28-0%

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$36-0%

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$1263%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$8,92949%

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$258-1%

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedTrail Blazers50c entry
-$11-1%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$31-2%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$1,742-7%

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$4,083136%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes62c entry
+$1,6714%

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$291%

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedVitality69c entry
+$645%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$31%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$70%

Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$3-2%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$1964%

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$62-0%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$79-9%

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes54c entry
+$12%

Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$11-7%

Wizards vs. Bulls

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedWizards50c entry
+$11%

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedSpurs50c entry
-$1-1%

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedTampa Bay Rays51c entry
-$0-2%

NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$41-5%

Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-1%

Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$64%

Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$0-4%

Chicago State vs. Lindenwood

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedLindenwood50c entry
+$00%

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$6-3%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes25c entry
+$151306%

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$5-3%

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedUnder52c entry
-$37-4%

East Tennessee State vs. VMI

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedVMI50c entry
-$0-1%

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$1,785250%

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$520-9%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$10%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$83114%

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$2,96567%

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$487%

Heat vs. Hornets

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedHornets50c entry
+$00%

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Oct 24, 2026RedeemedYes66c entry
+$24252%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo18c entry
+$45456%

Rockets vs. Spurs

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedSpurs48c entry
+$05%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes63c entry
+$1159%

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$33%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$3786%

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-1%

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-1%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$315%

Knicks vs. Celtics

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedKnicks51c entry
-$0-2%

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo5c entry
+$1341787%

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Bengals vs. Ravens

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedRavens54c entry
-$1-7%

Bucks vs. 76ers

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedBucks49c entry
+$23%

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$40-3%

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes73c entry
+$67135%

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$71%

Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$101%

Raptors vs. Wizards

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedWizards51c entry
-$72-2%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$130%

Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedOG43c entry
+$227133%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 22, 2026RedeemedTeam Yandex82c entry
+$3622%

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedFC Bayern München50c entry
+$01%

Warriors vs. Lakers

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedWarriors53c entry
-$1-6%

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes1c entry
+$39900%

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$2-2%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$8-10%

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedThunder49c entry
+$03%

Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$1-1%

Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-1%

Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$105%

Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$29%

Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Timberwolves vs. Heat

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedTimberwolves50c entry
+$01%

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$6-3%

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Resolved Oct 20, 2026Force-closedOver56c entry
+$18279%

Spread: Stars (-1.5)

Resolved Oct 18, 2026Force-closedStars29c entry
-$69-100%

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedSouth Dakota50c entry
-$0-0%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes66c entry
+$5231%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$29927%

Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$2-0%

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes83c entry
+$36512%

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$68644%

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes17c entry
+$1499%

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$3-1%

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo4c entry
+$1372281%

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$48%

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$1042%

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$124153%

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes61c entry
+$1,87464%

Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$38337%

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$3,35762%