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fantasy7788

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, fantasy7788 closed 19 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +100% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, fantasy7788 has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #36 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#36

Sirtio score

88.4

Avg edge (per position)

+100%

Positions (30d)

19

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 19 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 87% of fantasy7788's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+100%

across 19 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+6.36

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

88.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$55,933 on "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs" (a 56% return). The worst was a -$13 loss on "Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Playoffs".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

MOUZ

+$55,93356%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Invictus Gaming

+$28,58680%

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Vitality

+$22,01938%

Pistons vs. Knicks

Knicks

+$19,96761%

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Team WE

+$19,25896%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Playoffs

Weibo Gaming

-$13-100%

All Positions (Last 30 Days)

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldTop Esports23c entry
+$16,298336%

LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedKarmine Corp48c entry
+$3,113105%

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldMOUZ64c entry
+$55,93356%

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldVitality72c entry
+$22,01938%

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldEternal Fire42c entry
+$6,904138%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldNemiga52c entry
+$18,42392%

Lakers vs. Clippers

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldLakers48c entry
+$10,812108%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldInvictus Gaming55c entry
+$28,58680%

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 28, 2026Soldfnatic52c entry
+$17,47492%

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedNemiga65c entry
+$5,33253%

Pistons vs. Knicks

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedKnicks62c entry
+$19,96761%

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldMIBR62c entry
+$12,41562%

Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Playoffs

Resolved Oct 18, 2026Force-closedWeibo Gaming64c entry
-$13-100%

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldMVK Esports48c entry
+$11,514108%

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldTeam WE51c entry
+$19,25896%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldBNK FEARX49c entry
+$4,238106%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldJD Gaming37c entry
+$16,161169%