Leaderboard rank
#26
Over the last 90 days, BajaBlaster closed 126 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +21% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, BajaBlaster shows a real, if more moderate, edge over the average tracked trader and currently ranks #26 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+21%
Positions (90d)
126
72.6
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 126 resolved positions was +21%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
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Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
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Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
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Will Group C be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?
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LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
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Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
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National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff
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Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
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National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
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Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
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Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)
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Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
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LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
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Will Liquid Qualify to the EWC Main Event
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
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Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?
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LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
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Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?
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LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change by December?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Will Shopify Rebellion Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Will T1 Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
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Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubic
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 3, 2026
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 3, 2026
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
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LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
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LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
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Resolved Jul 29, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Jul 29, 2026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 26, 2026
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 26, 2026
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved Jul 22, 2026